LeBron James’ longevity

Okay, one more LeBron James thing, mostly because I like seeing different looks at the same data and topic. For The Washington Post, Artur Galocha and Ben Golliver focus on the longevity and consistency of James’ scoring. You expect scoring ability to decline with age, but James, at 38 years old, is still holding steady.

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Cumulative points scored by LeBron James and other top scorers

Never fear, Sopan Deb, K.K. Rebecca Lai, and Eve Washington, for The New York Times, are on the case with a comparison of LeBron James’ scoring timeline against other top scorers. They also provide breakdowns of how James scored his points, which show an all-around game rather than a hard skew towards a single type of shot.

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All of LeBron James’ career points, animated by season

LeBron James passed Kareem Abdul-Jabbar for all-time points in the NBA, and somehow I did not see a single cumulative line chart that shows James against previous players. This 3-D animation by Vanna Bushong and Kirk Goldsberry will have to do.

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LeBron James legacy versus championship-winning

LeBron James decides where he takes his talents this summer, and the sports news outlets continue to review every scenario as rumors trickle in. Neil Paine and Gus Wezerek for FiveThirtyEight present their quantitative solution, sending James to the Philadelphia 76ers.

On one hand, they consider the chances of winning a championship in the next four years, based on projection models. On the other hand, they consider a more subjective rating in legacy-building. All in good fun of course.

I always wonder what it’s like for professional athletes who have to make these sort of decisions. Much of their job is seemingly data-driven, but does someone like James even care about this stuff? Or is it all by feel? I imagine switching jobs to a new city, and I think I’d look at a few numbers initially, but it’d all filter down to the place where my family was happiest, data be damned.

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Amateur Racism

NBA basketball, well all basketball, well, really, all sports are not what a metaphysical philosopher would call “important”. University of Michigan* professor Yago Colas’ deconstructing criticism of LeBron James to reveal the inherent class and racial biases in perceptions of modern basketball is important. You don’t need to care about the NBA or LeBron James to need to read this post. You simply need to care about how our cultural idioms reinforces social inequality – and, if you don’t care about those things…WOW:

Referring to the athlete who plays for the love of the sport, the concept [ameteurism] came to imply…the amateur is motivated by rewards intrinsic to the sport, rather than by extrinsic rewards such as fame or money…This effectively kept working class athletes, who had neither the resources nor the leisure time, from challenging upper-class domination of sport so that, in effect, amateurism “established a system of ‘sports apartheid’ with white males from the upper classes enjoying the advantages.”

Because the amateur ideal took root in basketball culture while the sport was still segregated, the values came unconsciously to be associated with whiteness.
Yago Colas, “On LeBron James and Coaching”

I also thoroughly endorse Yago’s suggestion that LeBron become the first player-coach-owner in forever.

*It take a lot for me to say nice things about the State Up North. GO BUCKS!!!


Filed under: Follies of the Human Condition Tagged: Amateurism, Basketball, LeBron James, Linkonomicon, Marc Stein, NBA, Yago Colas

Spiky betting odds during LeBron James decision

Cleveland betting odds

LeBron James decided to head back to Cleveland, so naturally the odds that they win the championship went up. Todd Schneider charted the betting odds as the announcement happened to see how much they went up.

Of course that 10% already had built in some likelihood that James would choose to play for the Cavaliers next season. Before Cleveland was considered a threat to land LeBron, their championship odds were around 2%, so the 10% Cleveland odds immediately before LeBron’s decision perhaps reflected market expectations that LeBron had a 50% chance of choosing Cleveland: 0.5 * 0.18 + 0.5 * 0.02 = 0.1

Houston, who was expected to pick up Chris Bosh if James went to Cleveland, also saw a spike during the announcement, but the odds quickly came back down once Bosh decided to re-sign with Miami.

Sorry everyone – LeBron’s muscle cramps were NOT caused by dehydration or salt loss

Last week during game one of the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs, the air conditioning system in the AT&T Center wasn’t working properly. As a result, the normally cool arena was a sweltering 90 degrees …

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